Project Chintan

Sugar prices hit record high as cane diverted to ethanol

Retail sugar in India climbed to a record, with wholesale prices rising in key markets. The spike is linked to higher ethanol production from cane, while the government weighs importing sugar and removing import duty to ease shortages.

· 2 min read

Key takeaways

  • Retail sugar prices in India reached a record level with an average around 52.3 rupees per kilogram on August 18.
  • Wholesale prices in Kolhapur rose to 5,350 rupees per 100 kilograms, up about 20% since August began.
  • Analysts attribute the price rise to sugarcane being diverted to ethanol production as part of a broader fuel security strategy.

What Happened

Retail sugar prices in India reached a record level ahead of the festive season, with the all-India average price reported at 52.3 rupees per kilogram on August 18. In Kolhapur, a major sugar trading center, wholesale prices rose to 5,350 rupees per 100 kilograms, a near 20% increase since the start of August. In several markets, retail prices climbed to about 65 rupees per kilogram in Punjab and ~58–63 rupees per kilogram in Mumbai and Bhopal. The government is examining options to prevent a festive-season inflation surge tied to a sugar shortage.

Amid the price pressures, New Delhi is considering importing sugar, a move it has largely avoided in the past. There are reports that the government plans to remove the 100% import duty on sugar as a precursor to any imports. These steps come as India balances domestic supply concerns with demand during the upcoming holiday period.

Why It Matters

Experts attribute the price spike to a diversion of sugarcane toward ethanol production as part of India’s program to expand ethanol-blended fuel beyond current targets. This shift is described as reducing sugar availability for domestic markets and contributing to higher prices for consumers. The broader policy trade-off involves fuel security and food-price stability, particularly during a time of rising demand around festivals.

Background

India has substantial sugarcane in the fields and a large ethanol-production network built to support an ethanol-blended petrol program. By mid-2025, the country’s ethanol capacity reached around 1,822 crore litres per year across 499 distilleries, according to the All India Distillers’ Association. Sugarcane constitutes about 30–35% of ethanol feedstock, with the remainder sourced from maize and rice. The government has restricted exports to protect domestic supplies, while considering import options to mitigate shortages.

Key Facts

  • All-India average retail sugar price on August 18: 52.3 rupees per kilogram.
  • Wholesale sugar price in Kolhapur: 5,350 rupees per 100 kilograms (nearly 20% rise since early August).
  • Retail sugar price in Punjab: around 65 rupees per kilogram.
  • Retail sugar price in parts of Mumbai and Bhopal: about 58–63 rupees per kilogram.
  • India’s ethanol production capacity reached around 1,822 crore litres per year across 499 sites by mid-2025.
  • Sugarcane forms roughly 30–35% of ethanol feedstock; the rest comes from maize and rice.
  • Policy consideration to remove the 100% import duty on sugar as a step toward possible imports.

What Happens Next

The government is actively pursuing options to prevent a festive-season inflation spike linked to sugar shortages. While plans to import sugar are being considered, the potential removal of the import duty is cited as a preliminary step to facilitating any imports, according to contemporaneous reports.

Sources reviewed

Project Chintan independently synthesized and analyzed information cross-checked across the sources listed above.

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