UK Braces for 38C Heatwave as Hottest Summer on Record Looms

Background

The current meteorological conditions point towards the possibility of the UK experiencing its hottest summer on record. Between June 1 and August 10, the mean average temperature recorded was 16.48C, which is 1.88C above the 1991-2020 average. This follows a June and July that were the second warmest on record.

Met Office senior scientist Mike Kendon noted that the UK has experienced temperatures of 35C or higher on multiple occasions, interpreting these statistics as evidence of significant climate shifts within the UK. This impending heatwave is the fifth of the year, following a summer marked by intense heat, wildfires, agricultural challenges, and record-low river volumes.

Specific temperature forecasts indicate that while current temperatures are in the mid-20s Celsius in cities like London and Manchester, they are expected to rise to 34C by Wednesday and potentially reach 38C on Thursday. A cooling trend is anticipated from Saturday, with cooler air moving south across the country.

Key Facts

• The Met Office has issued an extreme heat warning for England, anticipating temperatures up to 38C.
• Amber heat health alerts have been activated by the UKHSA across much of England, warning of a potential rise in deaths.
• The UK is on track for its hottest summer on record, with the mean average temperature between June 1 and August 10 standing at 16.48C, 1.88C above the 1991-2020 average.
• Nearly three-quarters of England (45 million people) have experienced "flash droughts," and 27 million people are under hosepipe bans.
• The remains of a submerged village, Nether Hambleton, have become visible at Rutland Water reservoir due to low water levels.